Discussion about fuels and electricity, with Cristi Citre, Friday, August 28, at Digi24 Motorina "Romania - the richest country in oil" does not correspond to reality, but is rather a myth maintained by nostalgics. We were rich in oil 160 years ago, possibly 40-50 years ago. Today we still produce 2.5 million tons of crude oil per year and consume 11 million tons/year. The fact that our neighbors produce even less does not mean that we are an oil force.... Why do our neighbors pay less at the pump even though they import almost everything? The answer depends primarily on taxation. The Bulgarians go for the lowest possible excise tax (0.33 euro / liter of diesel), and neighboring countries such as Ukraine, Moldova or Serbia are not members of the European Union, which means that they do not have the obligation to align with the minimum level of excise duty imposed by Brussels. Moldova, for example, has the lowest excise duty on diesel in the region, of only 0.17 euros/liter). Otherwise, the level of VAT is similar in the region, with the exception of Hungary, where the rate is huge (27%) but there Russian crude oil is refined (which is cheaper than Brent). Beyond taxation, there are real cost differences throughout the processing and distribution chain. In the spring, the head of OMV spoke of a cost of 0.90 euros for the production of a liter of fuel. Now, we see that bringing the liter to the pump oscillates between 0.9 and 1.2 euros per liter. This difference of 30 eurocents translates directly into a variation of about 1.5 lei per liter between one gas station and another or between one country and another, completely independent of taxes. However, the price range we see since March (9-11 lei/liter) must NOT become the new normal. Electricity What is happening on the electricity market for autumn and winter? The scenarios circulated recently in the public space advance modest increases of 5% to 20% in bills, but they might be too optimistic. If we look at the figures from the contracts still in force (concluded in past years), there we can find a price of 1.1 lei/kWh (at Hidroelectrica, for example). If we refer to the current market offers of, say, 1.4-1.5 lei/kWh, this means an increase of at least 40%, not 5%. We also talked about the auctions on the stock market. Romgaz managed to sell energy for the last quarter of the year at a price of almost 900 lei/MWh, finding a buyer (OMV Petrom). In contrast, the Oltenia Energy Complex faced a stinging failure in August: zero interested buyers, although the asking price was lower (730 lei/MWh). Why does the market refuse cheaper energy from Oltenia? For two reasons. On the one hand, Romgaz sells electricity produced on gas, with considerably lower CO2 emissions, and the market is looking for clean energy. On the other hand, it is about the rigid structure of the offer: Oltenia has put up for sale energy packages in the band for the whole year (January-December). And the buyers do not want to buy coal megawatts in spring and summer, when we have excess solar production.
Read more »we do things differently
ROEC functions as a nexus between three “epistemic communities”: business, policy makers and academia